Population Growth Rate Calculator: Annual Rate of Change

Work out how fast a population is changing by reducing two census counts to a single annual growth rate.

✓ Editorially reviewed Updated May 17, 2026 By Ugo Candido
Start, End & Years
The population count at the start of the period.
The population count at the end of the period.
Your estimate $—

Adjust the inputs and select Calculate for a full breakdown.

Compare Common Scenarios

How the numbers shift across typical situations for this calculator:

ScenarioAnnual growth rateTotal population change
80,000 to 95,000 over 10yr1.73%18.75%
1,200,000 to 1,500,000 over 20yr1.12%25.00%
50,000 to 44,000 over 8yr-1.59%-12.00%
10,000 to 26,000 over 30yr3.24%160.00%

How This Calculator Works

Enter the population at the start and end of a period, and the number of years between the counts. The calculator finds the compound annual growth rate — the steady yearly pace linking the two — and the total change over the period.

The Formula

Compound Annual Growth Rate

CAGR = (End / Start)^(1/n) − 1

Start is the beginning value, End is the ending value, n is the number of years

Worked Example

A town growing from 80,000 to 95,000 over 10 years has an annual growth rate of about 1.73%. The total change is 18.75%, but the annual rate is what lets one place be compared with another.

Key Insight

Population compounds like money. A rate near 1.7% a year sounds small, yet it doubles a population in roughly 40 years — which is why even modest annual rates reshape a place over a generation.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is a population growth rate calculated?

It is the compound annual rate between two population counts. The calculator divides the ending count by the starting count, takes the per-year root, and subtracts one.

Why use an annual rate instead of total change?

Total change depends on how long the period is. The annual rate puts places and periods of different lengths on a comparable footing.

Does this account for migration?

Not separately. It captures the net result of births, deaths, and migration combined, since it uses only the start and end counts.

Can a population growth rate be negative?

Yes. If the ending population is smaller than the starting one, the rate is negative, showing the annual pace of decline.

How long until a population doubles?

Roughly, divide 70 by the annual percentage rate. At about 1.7% a year, a population doubles in approximately 40 years.

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Methodology & Review

Ugo Candido ✓ Editor
Wrote this calculator and is responsible for its methodology and review.

The growth rate is the compound annual rate between the population at the start and end of the period. It assumes steady growth and does not model migration or year-to-year shifts.

Written by Ugo Candido · Last updated May 17, 2026.